LCSWeek 2

FlyQuest vs Disguised - LCS

FlyQuest FlyQuest1-0
VS
Disguised Disguised
Aug 1, 23:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
FlyQuest
Disguised
FastTree · free model
FlyQuest86.9% Disguised13.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
FlyQuest
Elo Rating 1538
Tournament Record 1-0 (3-0)
Overall Record 103W - 65L (61.3%)
Current Streak 7W
H2H Win Rate 71.6%
VS
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 28.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
FlyQuest +291 Elo
Impact 27.8%
FlyQuest
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FlyQuest +34.3% expected WR
Impact 17.6%
FlyQuest
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FlyQuest +194
Impact 15.5%
FlyQuest
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FlyQuest +1067
Impact 9.2%
FlyQuest
5
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FlyQuest +615
Impact 5.9%
FlyQuest
6
Opponent Avg Elo
FlyQuest +0.193
Impact 4%
FlyQuest
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
FlyQuest +27.9%
Impact 3%
FlyQuest
8
Win Rate
FlyQuest +32.4% WR
Impact 1.8%
FlyQuest
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
FlyQuest +0.193
Impact 1%
FlyQuest
Scouting Report
FlyQuest BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (61%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control
Disguised RED
Well-rounded profile