LCSWeek 2

FlyQuest vs Disguised - LCS

FlyQuest FlyQuest1-2
VS
Disguised Disguised
Aug 1, 23:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
FlyQuest
Disguised
FastTree · free model
FlyQuest80.5% Disguised19.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
FlyQuest
Elo Rating 1495
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 113W - 78L (59.2%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 69.8%
VS
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 30.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
FlyQuest +248 Elo
Impact 21.5%
FlyQuest
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FlyQuest +166
Impact 19.4%
FlyQuest
3
Win Streak
FlyQuest +3 games
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 17.6%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FlyQuest +30.6% expected WR
Impact 11.7%
FlyQuest
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
FlyQuest +24.2%
Impact 6.5%
FlyQuest
6
Opponent Avg Elo
FlyQuest +0.172
Impact 5.1%
FlyQuest
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FlyQuest +845
Impact 5%
FlyQuest
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FlyQuest +814
Impact 3.1%
FlyQuest
9
Head-to-Head History
FlyQuest +39.7% WR
Impact 2.9%
FlyQuest
10
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
FlyQuest +331
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 1.9%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
FlyQuest BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (59%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control
Disguised RED
Well-rounded profile