LCSWeek 7

LYON vs Disguised - LCS

LYON LYON6-1
VS
1-6Disguised Disguised
Sep 6, 23:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
LYON
Disguised
FastTree · free model
LYON89.8% Disguised10.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
LYON
Elo Rating 1774
Tournament Record 6-1 (13-2)
Overall Record 79W - 60L (56.8%)
Current Streak 6W
H2H Win Rate 71.5%
VS
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record 1-6 (3-12)
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 28.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LYON +527 Elo
Impact 25.7%
LYON
2
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LYON +276
Impact 22.1%
LYON
3
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LYON +813
Impact 15.9%
LYON
4
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +45.4% expected WR
Impact 8.3%
LYON
5
History Depth
LYON +1
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 6.1%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Win Streak
LYON +10 games
Impact 5%
LYON
7
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LYON +1192
Impact 4.2%
LYON
8
Win Rate
LYON +27.9% WR
Impact 3%
LYON
9
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
LYON +357
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 2.4%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Upset Rate Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LYON +19.9%
Impact 2.3%
LYON
Scouting Report
LYON BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (57%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Disguised RED
Well-rounded profile