LCSWeek 7

LYON vs Disguised - LCS

LYON LYON2-2
VS
Disguised Disguised
Sep 6, 23:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
LYON
Disguised
FastTree · free model
LYON89.9% Disguised10.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
LYON
Elo Rating 1751
Tournament Record 2-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 93W - 73L (56%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 69.6%
VS
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 30.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LYON +504 Elo
Impact 25%
LYON
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LYON +265
Impact 21.4%
LYON
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +44.8% expected WR
Impact 12.7%
LYON
4
Win Streak
LYON +6 games
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 9.2%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LYON +22.3%
Impact 7.6%
LYON
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LYON +856
Impact 5.5%
LYON
7
Opponent Avg Elo
LYON +0.248
Impact 5.4%
LYON
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LYON +725
Impact 3.4%
LYON
9
Head-to-Head History
LYON +39.2% WR
Impact 3.3%
LYON
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
LYON +0.248
Impact 2%
LYON
Scouting Report
LYON BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (56%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control
Disguised RED
Well-rounded profile