LCSWeek 1

Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - LCS

Shopify Rebellion Shopify Rebellion2-2
VS
Disguised Disguised
Jul 26, 23:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Shopify Rebellion
Disguised
FastTree · free model
Shopify Rebellion55.9% Disguised44.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating 1416
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-10)
Overall Record 49W - 85L (36.6%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 69.1%
VS
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 30.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Shopify Rebellion +219
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 27%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Shopify Rebellion +169 Elo
Impact 14.2%
Shopify Rebellion
3
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Disguised +155
Impact 11.7%
Disguised
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Shopify Rebellion +22.6% expected WR
Impact 8.4%
Shopify Rebellion
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Shopify Rebellion +87
Impact 5.7%
Shopify Rebellion
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Shopify Rebellion +0.099
Impact 5.5%
Shopify Rebellion
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Shopify Rebellion +9.1%
Impact 4.9%
Shopify Rebellion
8
Head-to-Head History
Shopify Rebellion +38.1% WR
Impact 4.5%
Shopify Rebellion
9
History Depth
Shopify Rebellion +0
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 3.9%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Shopify Rebellion +447
Impact 3.2%
Shopify Rebellion
Scouting Report
Shopify Rebellion BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (37%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better vision control
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Disguised RED
Well-rounded profile