LCSWeek 1

Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - LCS

Jul 26, 23:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Shopify Rebellion
Disguised
FastTree · free model
Shopify Rebellion56.0% Disguised44.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating 1308
Tournament Record 0-1 (0-3)
Overall Record 39W - 73L (34.8%)
Current Streak 6L
H2H Win Rate 71.0%
VS
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 29.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Shopify Rebellion +33.6% WR
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 44%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Shopify Rebellion +447
Impact 10.4%
Shopify Rebellion
3
Elo Rating
Shopify Rebellion +61 Elo
Impact 10.4%
Shopify Rebellion
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Shopify Rebellion +8.7% expected WR
Impact 8.2%
Shopify Rebellion
5
Win Rate
Shopify Rebellion +5.9% WR
Impact 6.9%
Shopify Rebellion
6
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Disguised +55
Disguised leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact 6%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Shopify Rebellion +343
Impact 4.1%
Shopify Rebellion
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Shopify Rebellion +0.103
Impact 3.6%
Shopify Rebellion
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Shopify Rebellion +0.103
Impact 3.4%
Shopify Rebellion
Scouting Report
Shopify Rebellion BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (35%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better vision control
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Disguised RED
Well-rounded profile