LCSWeek 4

Disguised vs Team Liquid Alienware - LCS

Disguised Disguised
VS
3-0Team Liquid Alienware Team Liquid Alienware
Aug 15, 20:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Disguised
Team Liquid Alienware
FastTree · free model
Disguised10.1% Team Liquid Alienware89.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 26.6%
VS
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1725
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-2)
Overall Record 101W - 76L (57.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 73.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +478 Elo
Impact 36.7%
Team Liquid
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +44% expected WR
Impact 21.2%
Team Liquid
3
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Team Liquid +318
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 10.1%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Liquid +22.8%
Impact 6.5%
Team Liquid
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +1260
Impact 4.8%
Team Liquid
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Liquid +0.16
Impact 4.6%
Team Liquid
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +941
Impact 4.6%
Team Liquid
8
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +46.7% WR
Impact 4.3%
Team Liquid
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Liquid +0.16
Impact 1.7%
Team Liquid
10
History Depth
Disguised +0
Disguised leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact 1.3%
Counts for Team Liquid The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Disguised BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Team Liquid RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (57%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control