LCSWeek 1

FlyQuest vs LYON - LCS

FlyQuest FlyQuest1-2
VS
2-2LYON LYON
Jul 25, 20:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
FlyQuest
LYON
FastTree · free model
FlyQuest41.6% LYON58.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
FlyQuest
Elo Rating 1495
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 113W - 78L (59.2%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 47.1%
VS
LYON
Elo Rating 1751
Tournament Record 2-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 93W - 73L (56%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 52.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LYON +256 Elo
Impact 20.9%
LYON
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FlyQuest +89
Impact 12.6%
FlyQuest
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
FlyQuest +1.9%
Impact 10.3%
FlyQuest
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +31.4% expected WR
Impact 9.7%
LYON
5
Head-to-Head History
LYON +5.8% WR
Impact 8.4%
LYON
6
Win Rate
FlyQuest +3.1% WR
Impact 8.1%
FlyQuest
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LYON +11
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact 7.4%
Counts for FlyQuest The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
LYON +0.076
Impact 7.4%
LYON
9
Opponent Avg Elo
LYON +0.076
Impact 4.4%
LYON
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
LYON +134
Impact 4.1%
LYON
Scouting Report
FlyQuest BLUE
Well-rounded profile
LYON RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)