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Series Predictions
Shopify RebellionFlyQuest
FastTree
· free model
Shopify Rebellion25.8%
FlyQuest74.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Shopify RebellionElo Rating
1335
Tournament Record
3-4
(8-10)
Overall Record
39W - 70L (35.8%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
27.6%
VS
FlyQuestElo Rating
1482
Tournament Record
3-4
(6-8)
Overall Record
100W - 65L (60.6%)
Current Streak
4W
H2H Win Rate
72.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FlyQuest +19.9% expected WR
Impact
18.8%
FlyQuest
2
Elo Rating
FlyQuest +147 Elo
Impact
17.7%
FlyQuest
3
Vision Control
Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Shopify Rebellion +175
Impact
13.7%
Shopify Rebellion
4
Win Rate
FlyQuest +24.8% WR
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact
12.1%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Head-to-Head History
FlyQuest +44.9% WR
Impact
7.9%
FlyQuest
6
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FlyQuest +37
Impact
5.8%
FlyQuest
7
Objective Control
Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
FlyQuest +79
Impact
5.6%
FlyQuest
8
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FlyQuest +117
Impact
4.7%
FlyQuest
9
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FlyQuest +496
Impact
4.6%
FlyQuest
10
Upset Rate
Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
FlyQuest +20%
Impact
3%
FlyQuest
Scouting Report
Shopify Rebellion
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
FlyQuest
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (61%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control