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Series Predictions
Shopify RebellionFlyQuest
FastTree
· free model
Shopify Rebellion32.9%
FlyQuest67.1%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Shopify RebellionElo Rating
1416
Tournament Record
2-2
(7-10)
Overall Record
49W - 85L (36.6%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
38.0%
VS
FlyQuestElo Rating
1495
Tournament Record
1-2
(5-6)
Overall Record
113W - 78L (59.2%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
62.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FlyQuest +11.1% expected WR
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact
17.4%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FlyQuest +599
Impact
15.9%
FlyQuest
3
Elo Rating
FlyQuest +78 Elo
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact
15.5%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
FlyQuest +123
Impact
10.9%
FlyQuest
5
Head-to-Head History
FlyQuest +24.1% WR
Impact
7.8%
FlyQuest
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Shopify Rebellion +0
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact
6.1%
Counts for FlyQuest
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
FlyQuest +0.073
Impact
5.4%
FlyQuest
8
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Shopify Rebellion +20% WR
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact
4.8%
Counts for FlyQuest
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FlyQuest +23
Impact
4.5%
FlyQuest
10
Win Rate
FlyQuest +22.6% WR
Impact
3.2%
FlyQuest
Scouting Report
Shopify Rebellion
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
FlyQuest
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (59%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure