LCSWeek 3

FlyQuest vs Team Liquid Alienware - LCS

FlyQuest FlyQuest1-2
VS
3-0Team Liquid Alienware Team Liquid Alienware
Aug 9, 23:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
FlyQuest
Team Liquid Alienware
FastTree · free model
FlyQuest27.9% Team Liquid Alienware72.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
FlyQuest
Elo Rating 1495
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 113W - 78L (59.2%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 37.3%
VS
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1725
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-2)
Overall Record 101W - 76L (57.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 62.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +230 Elo
Impact 23%
Team Liquid
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +29% expected WR
Impact 12.5%
Team Liquid
3
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +25.5% WR
Impact 10.2%
Team Liquid
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
FlyQuest +1.4%
Impact 9%
FlyQuest
5
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
FlyQuest +0.012
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact 8.8%
Counts for Team Liquid The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +127
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact 8.8%
Counts for FlyQuest The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Win Rate
FlyQuest +2.1% WR
Impact 6.1%
FlyQuest
8
Opponent Avg Elo
FlyQuest +0.012
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact 5.5%
Counts for Team Liquid The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Liquid +102
Impact 5.2%
Team Liquid
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Team Liquid +245
Impact 5.1%
Team Liquid
Scouting Report
FlyQuest BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Team Liquid RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)