LCSWeek 2

LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - LCS

LYON LYON2-2
VS
2-2Shopify Rebellion Shopify Rebellion
Aug 2, 20:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
LYON
Shopify Rebellion
FastTree · free model
LYON82.0% Shopify Rebellion18.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
LYON
Elo Rating 1751
Tournament Record 2-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 93W - 73L (56%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 72.6%
VS
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating 1416
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-10)
Overall Record 49W - 85L (36.6%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 27.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LYON +335 Elo
Impact 23.7%
LYON
2
Win Streak
LYON +0 games
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact 18%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +37.3% expected WR
Impact 13.7%
LYON
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LYON +13.2%
Impact 13%
LYON
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LYON +180
Impact 10.4%
LYON
6
Opponent Avg Elo
LYON +0.149
Impact 6.2%
LYON
7
Head-to-Head History
LYON +45.2% WR
Impact 4.6%
LYON
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LYON +610
Impact 3.5%
LYON
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
LYON +269
Impact 2.2%
LYON
10
Win Rate
LYON +19.5% WR
Impact 1.2%
LYON
Scouting Report
LYON BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (56%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
Shopify Rebellion RED
Well-rounded profile