LCSWeek 6

LYON vs Team Liquid Alienware - LCS

LYON LYON
VS
Team Liquid Alienware Team Liquid Alienware
Aug 30, 20:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
LYON
Team Liquid Alienware
FastTree · free model
LYON56.0% Team Liquid Alienware44.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
LYON
Elo Rating 1774
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 79W - 60L (56.8%)
Current Streak 6W
H2H Win Rate 64.0%
VS
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1697
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 89W - 70L (56%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 36.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +87
Impact 32.4%
Team Liquid
2
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
LYON +40% WR
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact 11.6%
Counts for Team Liquid The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo Rating
LYON +77 Elo
Impact 9.3%
LYON
4
Win Rate
LYON +0.9% WR
Impact 8.1%
LYON
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +10.9% expected WR
Impact 6.1%
LYON
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +185
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact 5.7%
Counts for LYON The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Liquid +2.8%
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact 5%
Counts for LYON The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
LYON +51
Impact 4.1%
LYON
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
LYON +0.068
Impact 3.2%
LYON
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
LYON +190
Impact 2.7%
LYON
Scouting Report
LYON BLUE
Higher rated overall
Team Liquid RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure