LCSWeek 6

Team Liquid Alienware vs Shopify Rebellion - LCS

Team Liquid Alienware Team Liquid Alienware3-0
VS
2-2Shopify Rebellion Shopify Rebellion
Aug 29, 20:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Team Liquid Alienware
Shopify Rebellion
FastTree · free model
Team Liquid Alienware87.1% Shopify Rebellion12.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1725
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-2)
Overall Record 101W - 76L (57.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 72.5%
VS
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating 1416
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-10)
Overall Record 49W - 85L (36.6%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 27.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +309 Elo
Impact 28%
Team Liquid
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +35.5% expected WR
Impact 15.6%
Team Liquid
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Liquid +172
Impact 13.1%
Team Liquid
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Liquid +0.061
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact 9.6%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Liquid +13.8%
Impact 7.5%
Team Liquid
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Liquid +0.061
Impact 6.7%
Team Liquid
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +1014
Impact 5.5%
Team Liquid
8
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +45% WR
Impact 3.6%
Team Liquid
9
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +722
Impact 3.3%
Team Liquid
10
Win Streak
Shopify Rebellion +3 games
Impact 3.3%
Shopify Rebellion
Scouting Report
Team Liquid BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (57%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Shopify Rebellion RED
Well-rounded profile