LCSPlayoffs

Cloud9 Kia vs LYON - LCS

Cloud9 Kia Cloud9 Kia2-2
VS
2-2LYON LYON
Sep 19, 20:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Cloud9 Kia
LYON
FastTree · free model
Cloud9 Kia21.7% LYON78.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
Cloud9
Elo Rating 1521
Tournament Record 2-2 (8-7)
Overall Record 107W - 76L (58.5%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 44.0%
VS
LYON
Elo Rating 1757
Tournament Record 2-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 90W - 70L (56.3%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 56.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LYON +236 Elo
Impact 26.3%
LYON
2
Head-to-Head History
LYON +12% WR
Impact 12.6%
LYON
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +29.6% expected WR
Impact 12.2%
LYON
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
LYON +0.117
Impact 10.9%
LYON
5
Opponent Avg Elo
LYON +0.117
Impact 7.6%
LYON
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LYON +12
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact 6%
Counts for Cloud9 The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Cloud9 +18
Impact 5.4%
Cloud9
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LYON +104
Impact 5%
LYON
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cloud9 +3.5%
Impact 3.7%
Cloud9
10
Win Rate
Cloud9 +2.2% WR
Impact 2.8%
Cloud9
Scouting Report
Cloud9 BLUE
Well-rounded profile
LYON RED
Higher rated overall