LCSPlayoffs
FlyQuest vs Team Liquid Alienware - LCS
Sep 20, 20:00·Bo5
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Series Predictions
FlyQuestTeam Liquid Alienware
FastTree
· free model
FlyQuest27.4%
Team Liquid Alienware72.6%
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Head-to-Head & Form
FlyQuestElo Rating
1495
Tournament Record
1-2
(5-6)
Overall Record
113W - 78L (59.2%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
37.2%
VS
Team LiquidElo Rating
1771
Tournament Record
3-0
(9-2)
Overall Record
100W - 74L (57.5%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
62.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +277 Elo
Impact
22.5%
Team Liquid
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +33.1% expected WR
Impact
11.9%
Team Liquid
3
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +25.6% WR
Impact
10.6%
Team Liquid
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +107
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact
10.5%
Counts for FlyQuest
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
FlyQuest +1.4%
Impact
10.2%
FlyQuest
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
FlyQuest +0.018
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
9.3%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Opponent Avg Elo
FlyQuest +0.018
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
8.9%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Team Liquid +135
Impact
4.4%
Team Liquid
9
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +465
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact
3.1%
Counts for FlyQuest
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Liquid +115
Impact
2.8%
Team Liquid
Scouting Report
FlyQuest
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Team Liquid
RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure