LCSPlayoffs

Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion - LCS

Sep 18, 20:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Sentinels
Shopify Rebellion
FastTree · free model
Sentinels67.2% Shopify Rebellion32.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
Sentinels
Elo Rating 1383
Tournament Record 0-2 (2-6)
Overall Record 43W - 48L (47.3%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 47.6%
VS
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating 1416
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-10)
Overall Record 49W - 85L (36.6%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 52.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Sentinels +505
Impact 33.4%
Sentinels
2
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Sentinels +344
Impact 11.8%
Sentinels
3
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Sentinels +452
Impact 10.3%
Sentinels
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Sentinels +368
Sentinels leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact 9.4%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Win Rate
Sentinels +10.7% WR
Sentinels leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact 9%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Shopify Rebellion +4.8% expected WR
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 5.5%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Elo Rating
Shopify Rebellion +33 Elo
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 4.1%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Shopify Rebellion +19
Impact 3.3%
Shopify Rebellion
9
Head-to-Head History
Shopify Rebellion +4.8% WR
Impact 3.3%
Shopify Rebellion
10
Opponent Avg Elo
Shopify Rebellion +0.078
Impact 2.8%
Shopify Rebellion
Scouting Report
Sentinels BLUE
Stronger win record (47%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better vision control
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Shopify Rebellion RED
Higher rated overall