LCSPlayoffs

Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion - LCS

Sentinels Sentinels
VS
0-1Shopify Rebellion Shopify Rebellion
Sep 18, 20:00·Bo5
Series Edge Premium Bo5Patch 16.17Updates after every game
Sentinels
Better draft expected Premium Better draft expectedWhich roster is expected to get the better draft on this patch, from pool depth and the current meta. A house read, not any single model's number. See which side, and whether the market agrees
Shopify Rebellion
Champion pool edge Each roster's go-to champions for this series and how deep its meta pool runs.
Highest impact champions this seriesPremium
Highest impact champions this series The five champions that swing this series most, with who plays them and how it has gone.
Series Predictions
Sentinels
Shopify Rebellion
FastTree · free model
Sentinels73.2% Shopify Rebellion26.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
Sentinels
Elo Rating 1485
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 41W - 42L (49.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 52.3%
VS
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating 1308
Tournament Record 0-1 (0-3)
Overall Record 39W - 73L (34.8%)
Current Streak 6L
H2H Win Rate 47.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Sentinels +177 Elo
Impact 27.2%
Sentinels
2
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Shopify Rebellion +0.053
Impact 24.7%
Shopify Rebellion
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Sentinels +23.5% expected WR
Impact 22.9%
Sentinels
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Sentinels +101
Impact 7.7%
Sentinels
5
Win Rate
Sentinels +14.6% WR
Impact 4.3%
Sentinels
6
Win Streak
Sentinels +4 games
Impact 3.1%
Sentinels
7
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Sentinels +137
Impact 1.8%
Sentinels
8
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Shopify Rebellion +3
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 1.7%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Opponent Avg Elo
Shopify Rebellion +0.053
Impact 1.5%
Shopify Rebellion
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Sentinels +15.5%
Impact 1.4%
Sentinels
Scouting Report
Sentinels BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (49%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Shopify Rebellion RED
Well-rounded profile