LCSPlayoffs

Team Liquid Alienware vs Cloud9 Kia - LCS

Sep 27, 20:00·Bo5
Series Edge Premium Bo5Patch 16.17Updates after every game
Team Liquid Alienware
Better draft expected Premium Better draft expectedWhich roster is expected to get the better draft on this patch, from pool depth and the current meta. A house read, not any single model's number. See which side, and whether the market agrees
Cloud9 Kia
Champion pool edge Each roster's go-to champions for this series and how deep its meta pool runs.
Series Predictions
Team Liquid Alienware
Cloud9 Kia
FastTree · free model
Team Liquid Alienware69.1% Cloud9 Kia30.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1733
Tournament Record 1-0 (3-0)
Overall Record 92W - 70L (56.8%)
Current Streak 5W
H2H Win Rate 56.2%
VS
Cloud9
Elo Rating 1648
Tournament Record 2-0 (6-1)
Overall Record 102W - 64L (61.4%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 43.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +79
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact 22.6%
Counts for Cloud9 The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Win Rate
Cloud9 +4.7% WR
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact 15.6%
Counts for Team Liquid The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cloud9 +4.2%
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact 8%
Counts for Team Liquid The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +98
Impact 7.8%
Team Liquid
5
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +85 Elo
Impact 7.3%
Team Liquid
6
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Cloud9 +350
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact 7.2%
Counts for Team Liquid The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +12% expected WR
Impact 6.4%
Team Liquid
8
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Cloud9 +29
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact 4.5%
Counts for Team Liquid The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Liquid +0.046
Impact 4.3%
Team Liquid
10
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Cloud9 +64
Impact 4.1%
Cloud9
Scouting Report
Team Liquid BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure
Cloud9 RED
Well-rounded profile