LCSPlayoffs
Team Liquid Alienware vs Cloud9 Kia - LCS
Sep 27, 20:00·Bo5
Series Edge
Premium
Bo5Patch 16.17Updates after every game
Team Liquid AlienwareBetter draft expected
Premium
Better draft expectedWhich roster is expected to get the better draft on this patch, from pool depth and the current meta. A house read, not any single model's number.
See which side, and whether the market agrees
Highest impact champions this seriesPremium
Highest impact champions this series
The five champions that swing this series most, with who plays them and how it has gone.
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Series Predictions
Team Liquid AlienwareCloud9 Kia

FastTree
· free model
Team Liquid Alienware69.1%
Cloud9 Kia30.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team LiquidElo Rating
1733
Tournament Record
1-0
(3-0)
Overall Record
92W - 70L (56.8%)
Current Streak
5W
H2H Win Rate
56.2%
VS
Elo Rating
1648
Tournament Record
2-0
(6-1)
Overall Record
102W - 64L (61.4%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
43.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +79
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact
22.6%
Counts for Cloud9
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Win Rate
Cloud9 +4.7% WR
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
15.6%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cloud9 +4.2%
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
8%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +98
Impact
7.8%
Team Liquid
5
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +85 Elo
Impact
7.3%
Team Liquid
6
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Cloud9 +350
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
7.2%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +12% expected WR
Impact
6.4%
Team Liquid
8
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Cloud9 +29
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
4.5%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Liquid +0.046
Impact
4.3%
Team Liquid
10
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Cloud9 +64
Impact
4.1%
Cloud9
Scouting Report
Team Liquid
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure
Well-rounded profile