LCSPlayoffs

Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest - LCS

Shopify Rebellion Shopify Rebellion1-1
VS
1-1FlyQuest FlyQuest
Sep 25, 20:00·Bo5
Series Edge Premium Bo5Patch 16.18Updates after every game
Shopify Rebellion
Better draft expected Premium Better draft expectedWhich roster is expected to get the better draft on this patch, from pool depth and the current meta. A house read, not any single model's number. See which side, and whether the market agrees
FlyQuest
Champion pool edge Each roster's go-to champions for this series and how deep its meta pool runs.
Highest impact champions this seriesPremium
Highest impact champions this series The five champions that swing this series most, with who plays them and how it has gone.
Series Predictions
Shopify Rebellion
FlyQuest
FastTree · free model
Shopify Rebellion25.2% FlyQuest74.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating 1350
Tournament Record 1-1 (3-5)
Overall Record 42W - 75L (35.9%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 28.1%
VS
FlyQuest
Elo Rating 1502
Tournament Record 1-1 (3-3)
Overall Record 103W - 68L (60.2%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 71.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
FlyQuest +152 Elo
Impact 20.6%
FlyQuest
2
Win Streak
Shopify Rebellion +6 games
Impact 12.3%
Shopify Rebellion
3
H2HWin Rate Weighted
FlyQuest +43.9% WR
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact 11.2%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Opponent Avg Elo
Shopify Rebellion +0
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact 10.1%
Counts for FlyQuest The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FlyQuest +20.6% expected WR
Impact 9.4%
FlyQuest
6
Win Rate
FlyQuest +24.3% WR
Impact 7%
FlyQuest
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FlyQuest +38
Impact 5.5%
FlyQuest
8
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
FlyQuest +17.4%
Impact 4.9%
FlyQuest
9
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
FlyQuest +148
Impact 4.7%
FlyQuest
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FlyQuest +548
Impact 2.8%
FlyQuest
Scouting Report
Shopify Rebellion BLUE
Well-rounded profile
FlyQuest RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (60%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control