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Series Predictions
LYONTeam Liquid Alienware
FastTree
· free model
Uncertain
LYON51.8%
Team Liquid Alienware48.2%
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Head-to-Head & Form
LYONElo Rating
1710
Tournament Record
2-1
(7-5)
Overall Record
86W - 65L (57%)
Current Streak
3W
H2H Win Rate
63.8%
VS
Team LiquidElo Rating
1745
Tournament Record
2-0
(6-1)
Overall Record
95W - 71L (57.2%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
36.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Head-to-Head History
LYON +27.6% WR
Impact
17.4%
LYON
2
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Team Liquid +52
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact
14.2%
Counts for LYON
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Win Rate
Team Liquid +0.3% WR
Impact
10.6%
Team Liquid
4
Opponent Avg Elo
LYON +0
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
7.4%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Liquid +17
Impact
7%
Team Liquid
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +264
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact
5.9%
Counts for LYON
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
LYON +185
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
5.7%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
H2HWin Rate Weighted
LYON +27.6% WR
Impact
5.5%
LYON
9
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +35 Elo
Impact
5.4%
Team Liquid
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Liquid +1.8%
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact
5.1%
Counts for LYON
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
LYON
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Team Liquid
RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure