CBLOLWeek 6

paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - CBLOL

paiN Gaming paiN Gaming1-2
VS
0-2Vivo Keyd Stars Vivo Keyd Stars
Aug 30, 16:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
paiN Gaming
Vivo Keyd Stars
FastTree · free model
paiN Gaming31.0% Vivo Keyd Stars69.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
paiN Gaming
Elo Rating 1417
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-7)
Overall Record 55W - 72L (43.3%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 46.6%
VS
Vivo Keyd Stars
Elo Rating 1370
Tournament Record 0-2 (1-6)
Overall Record 68W - 73L (48.2%)
Current Streak 6L
H2H Win Rate 53.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
Contrarian call - fading the favorite
No single stat favors Vivo Keyd Stars. paiN Gaming leads nearly every metric below, but the model reads that profile as one that tends to lose here - so it favors Vivo Keyd Stars anyway. The rows below are the paiN Gaming edges the model weighs against, not reasons Vivo Keyd Stars is ahead.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
paiN Gaming +165
paiN Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Vivo Keyd Stars.
Impact 44.2%
Counts for Vivo Keyd Stars The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
paiN Gaming +30
paiN Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Vivo Keyd Stars.
Impact 24.8%
Counts for Vivo Keyd Stars The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Win Rate
Vivo Keyd Stars +4.9% WR
Vivo Keyd Stars leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward paiN Gaming.
Impact 7%
Counts for paiN Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
paiN Gaming +9.9% expected WR
Impact 5.5%
paiN Gaming
5
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
paiN Gaming +10
Impact 4.1%
paiN Gaming
6
Elo Rating
paiN Gaming +70 Elo
Impact 3.9%
paiN Gaming
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
paiN Gaming +55
Impact 3.5%
paiN Gaming
8
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
paiN Gaming +187
Impact 2.3%
paiN Gaming
9
Opponent Avg Elo
paiN Gaming +0
Impact 2.2%
paiN Gaming
10
Head-to-Head History
Vivo Keyd Stars +6.9% WR
Vivo Keyd Stars leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward paiN Gaming.
Impact 1.5%
Counts for paiN Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
paiN Gaming BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Vivo Keyd Stars RED
Well-rounded profile