CBLOLPlayoffs
Vivo Keyd Stars vs paiN Gaming - CBLOL
Sep 5, 16:00·Bo5
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Series Predictions
Vivo Keyd StarspaiN Gaming


FastTree
· free model
Vivo Keyd Stars61.1%
paiN Gaming38.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Vivo Keyd StarsElo Rating
1408
Tournament Record
0-1
(1-3)
Overall Record
68W - 70L (49.3%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
53.5%
VS
paiN GamingElo Rating
1442
Tournament Record
1-0
(3-1)
Overall Record
53W - 66L (44.5%)
Current Streak
3W
H2H Win Rate
46.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Vivo Keyd Stars +0.036
Impact
19.9%
Vivo Keyd Stars
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
paiN Gaming +191
paiN Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Vivo Keyd Stars.
Impact
15.9%
Counts for Vivo Keyd Stars
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Vivo Keyd Stars +7.1% WR
Impact
14.7%
Vivo Keyd Stars
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
paiN Gaming +7.2% expected WR
Impact
14.6%
paiN Gaming
5
Elo Rating
paiN Gaming +50 Elo
Impact
9.2%
paiN Gaming
6
Head-to-Head History
Vivo Keyd Stars +7.1% WR
Impact
8.3%
Vivo Keyd Stars
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Vivo Keyd Stars +35
Vivo Keyd Stars leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward paiN Gaming.
Impact
4.9%
Counts for paiN Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
paiN Gaming +20% WR
Impact
3.4%
paiN Gaming
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Vivo Keyd Stars +14.4%
Impact
2.2%
Vivo Keyd Stars
10
Win Rate
Vivo Keyd Stars +4.7% WR
Vivo Keyd Stars leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward paiN Gaming.
Impact
2.1%
Counts for paiN Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Vivo Keyd Stars
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
paiN Gaming
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure