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Series Predictions
RED KalungapaiN Gaming
FastTree
· free model
Uncertain
RED Kalunga53.6%
paiN Gaming46.4%
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Head-to-Head & Form
RED CanidsElo Rating
1425
Tournament Record
2-2
(8-7)
Overall Record
82W - 81L (50.3%)
Current Streak
6L
H2H Win Rate
70.3%
VS
paiN GamingElo Rating
1417
Tournament Record
1-2
(5-7)
Overall Record
55W - 72L (43.3%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
29.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
RED Canids +7
RED Canids leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward paiN Gaming.
Impact
22.5%
Counts for paiN Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
paiN Gaming +20% WR
Impact
17%
paiN Gaming
3
Head-to-Head History
RED Canids +40.7% WR
Impact
11.7%
RED Canids
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
paiN Gaming +56
paiN Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward RED Canids.
Impact
7.1%
Counts for RED Canids
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
H2HWin Rate Weighted
RED Canids +40.7% WR
Impact
6.8%
RED Canids
6
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
RED Canids +1.7% expected WR
Impact
5.3%
RED Canids
7
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
paiN Gaming +112
paiN Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward RED Canids.
Impact
4.9%
Counts for RED Canids
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Elo Rating
RED Canids +12 Elo
Impact
4.6%
RED Canids
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
RED Canids +0.003
RED Canids leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward paiN Gaming.
Impact
3.6%
Counts for paiN Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
RED Canids +342
Impact
3.5%
RED Canids
Scouting Report
RED Canids
BLUE
Stronger win record (50%)
Higher first blood rate
paiN Gaming
RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure