LCPSwiss

Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports - LCP

Jul 25, 09:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Ground Zero Gaming
MVK Esports
FastTree · free model
Ground Zero Gaming36.6% MVK Esports63.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
Ground Zero Gaming
Elo Rating 1408
Tournament Record 2-3 (7-7)
Overall Record 40W - 81L (33.1%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 31.8%
VS
MVK Esports
Elo Rating 1541
Tournament Record 4-4 (13-15)
Overall Record 43W - 51L (45.7%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 68.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
MVK Esports +199 Elo
Impact 20%
MVK Esports
2
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
MVK Esports +31
MVK Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Ground Zero Gaming.
Impact 11.7%
Counts for Ground Zero Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
MVK Esports +0.062
Impact 10.7%
MVK Esports
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Ground Zero Gaming +35
Impact 10.1%
Ground Zero Gaming
5
Head-to-Head History
MVK Esports +36.3% WR
Impact 8.5%
MVK Esports
6
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
MVK Esports +25.8% expected WR
Impact 8.3%
MVK Esports
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
MVK Esports +3.6%
MVK Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Ground Zero Gaming.
Impact 8.2%
Counts for Ground Zero Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
MVK Esports +66
Impact 6.4%
MVK Esports
9
Win Streak
Ground Zero Gaming +6 games
Impact 4.8%
Ground Zero Gaming
10
Win Rate
MVK Esports +12.7% WR
Impact 3.5%
MVK Esports
Scouting Report
Ground Zero Gaming BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
MVK Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (46%)
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control