MSIPlay In Knockouts
Team Liquid Alienware vs Karmine Corp - MSI
Jun 30, 08:00·Bo5
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Series Predictions
Team Liquid AlienwareKarmine Corp


FastTree
· free model
Team Liquid Alienware19.4%
Karmine Corp80.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team LiquidElo Rating
1697
Tournament Record
2-2
(6-6)
Overall Record
89W - 70L (56%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
67.8%
VS
Karmine CorpElo Rating
1794
Tournament Record
1-2
(3-6)
Overall Record
148W - 91L (61.9%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
32.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Karmine Corp +97 Elo
Impact
16.5%
Karmine Corp
2
Win Rate
Karmine Corp +5.9% WR
Impact
13.9%
Karmine Corp
3
Opponent Avg Elo
Karmine Corp +0.144
Impact
9.6%
Karmine Corp
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +28
Impact
9.2%
Team Liquid
5
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Karmine Corp +90
Impact
8.7%
Karmine Corp
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Karmine Corp +41
Impact
8.2%
Karmine Corp
7
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Karmine Corp +13.6% expected WR
Impact
7.3%
Karmine Corp
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Karmine Corp +0.144
Impact
4.5%
Karmine Corp
9
Win Streak
Team Liquid +3 games
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
4%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +35.6% WR
Impact
3.7%
Team Liquid
Scouting Report
Team Liquid
BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure
Karmine Corp
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (62%)
Better dragon control