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Series Predictions
LYONFURIA
FastTree
· free model
LYON68.6%
FURIA31.4%
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Head-to-Head & Form
LYONElo Rating
1726
Tournament Record
3-2
(11-6)
Overall Record
91W - 72L (55.8%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
66.1%
VS
FURIAElo Rating
1522
Tournament Record
0-2
(0-6)
Overall Record
103W - 77L (57.2%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
33.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LYON +82
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FURIA.
Impact
17.3%
Counts for FURIA
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LYON +277
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FURIA.
Impact
11.5%
Counts for FURIA
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo Rating
LYON +192 Elo
Impact
11.4%
LYON
4
Head-to-Head History
LYON +32.2% WR
Impact
11.2%
LYON
5
Win Rate
FURIA +1.4% WR
FURIA leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact
11.1%
Counts for LYON
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
FURIA +130
FURIA leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact
6.4%
Counts for LYON
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +25.1% expected WR
Impact
6.2%
LYON
8
Opponent Avg Elo
LYON +0.152
Impact
6.1%
LYON
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
LYON +0.152
Impact
5.6%
LYON
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FURIA +34
FURIA leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact
3.9%
Counts for LYON
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
LYON
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
FURIA
RED
Well-rounded profile