MSIKnockouts

LYON vs Team Secret Whales - MSI

Jul 8, 03:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
LYON
Team Secret Whales
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
LYON50.9% Team Secret Whales49.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
LYON
Elo Rating 1774
Tournament Record 3-2 (11-6)
Overall Record 79W - 60L (56.8%)
Current Streak 6W
H2H Win Rate 68.3%
VS
Team Secret Whales
Elo Rating 1700
Tournament Record 1-2 (3-7)
Overall Record 119W - 68L (63.6%)
Current Streak 9W
H2H Win Rate 31.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Secret Whales +26 Elo
Team Secret Whales leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact 18.6%
Counts for LYON The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
LYON +79
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Secret Whales.
Impact 12.8%
Counts for Team Secret Whales The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
LYON +0% WR
Impact 8.6%
LYON
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Secret Whales +138
Team Secret Whales leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact 8.1%
Counts for LYON The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Secret Whales +0.011
Impact 7.8%
Team Secret Whales
6
Win Rate
Team Secret Whales +6.8% WR
Impact 7.1%
Team Secret Whales
7
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Secret Whales +3.8% expected WR
Team Secret Whales leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact 5.6%
Counts for LYON The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Secret Whales +0.011
Impact 5.3%
Team Secret Whales
9
Win Streak
Team Secret Whales +3 games
Impact 5.2%
Team Secret Whales
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Team Secret Whales +141
Team Secret Whales leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact 5.1%
Counts for LYON The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
LYON BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Team Secret Whales RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (64%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better dragon control