LPLPlayoffs Bracket

TOP ESPORTS vs Beijing JDG Esports - LPL

May 31, 09:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
TOP ESPORTS
Beijing JDG Esports
FastTree · free model
TOP ESPORTS37.4% Beijing JDG Esports62.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
Top Esports
Elo Rating 1621
Tournament Record 0-2 (4-6)
Overall Record 187W - 132L (58.6%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 56.7%
VS
JD Gaming
Elo Rating 1607
Tournament Record 0-2 (1-6)
Overall Record 158W - 145L (52.1%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 43.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Schedule Strength Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
JD Gaming +0.011
Impact 23.1%
JD Gaming
2
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Top Esports +13.5% WR
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact 20.5%
Counts for JD Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
JD Gaming +94
JD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact 11.4%
Counts for Top Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Win Streak
Top Esports +3 games
Impact 11%
Top Esports
5
Recent Win Rate Recent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Top Esports +20% WR
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact 8.3%
Counts for JD Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Top Esports +2% expected WR
Impact 7.1%
Top Esports
7
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Top Esports +200
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact 6.8%
Counts for JD Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Top Esports +7
Impact 3.4%
Top Esports
9
Elo Rating
Top Esports +14 Elo
Impact 2.8%
Top Esports
10
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
JD Gaming +130
Impact 1.8%
JD Gaming
Scouting Report
Top Esports BLUE
Stronger win record (59%)
JD Gaming RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)