LPLPlayoffs

TOP ESPORTS vs Beijing JDG Esports - LPL

TOP ESPORTS TOP ESPORTS1-0
VS
1-1Beijing JDG Esports Beijing JDG Esports
May 31, 09:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
TOP ESPORTS
Beijing JDG Esports
FastTree · free model
TOP ESPORTS44.2% Beijing JDG Esports55.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
Top Esports
Elo Rating 1795
Tournament Record 1-0 (3-1)
Overall Record 194W - 135L (59%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 56.4%
VS
JD Gaming
Elo Rating 1595
Tournament Record 1-1 (4-4)
Overall Record 168W - 156L (51.9%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 43.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
JD Gaming +172
Impact 35.8%
JD Gaming
2
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Top Esports +41
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact 19.9%
Counts for JD Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo Rating
Top Esports +200 Elo
Impact 15.5%
Top Esports
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Top Esports +26% expected WR
Impact 7.9%
Top Esports
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Top Esports +99
Impact 7.4%
Top Esports
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Top Esports +11%
Impact 4.5%
Top Esports
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Top Esports +0.006
Impact 3.7%
Top Esports
8
Head-to-Head History
Top Esports +12.9% WR
Impact 3%
Top Esports
Scouting Report
Top Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (59%)
JD Gaming RED
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)