LPLPlayoffs

LGD GAMING vs THUNDER TALK GAMING - LPL

LGD GAMING LGD GAMING
VS
THUNDER TALK GAMING THUNDER TALK GAMING
Jun 2, 09:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
LGD GAMING
THUNDER TALK GAMING
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
LGD GAMING47.0% THUNDER TALK GAMING53.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
LGD Gaming
Elo Rating 1565
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 77W - 92L (45.6%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 57.8%
VS
ThunderTalk Gaming
Elo Rating 1415
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 27W - 54L (33.3%)
Current Streak 9L
H2H Win Rate 42.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LGD Gaming +183 Elo
Impact 17%
LGD Gaming
2
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LGD Gaming +5.6%
LGD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 15.7%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Opponent Avg Elo
ThunderTalk Gaming +0.181
Impact 13.8%
ThunderTalk Gaming
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LGD Gaming +189
LGD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 13.5%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LGD Gaming +100
Impact 9.9%
LGD Gaming
6
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LGD Gaming +24.1% expected WR
Impact 7.7%
LGD Gaming
7
Head-to-Head History
LGD Gaming +15.6% WR
Impact 6.9%
LGD Gaming
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
ThunderTalk Gaming +0.181
Impact 6.6%
ThunderTalk Gaming
9
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LGD Gaming +585
LGD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 3.3%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
LGD Gaming +288
Impact 2.2%
LGD Gaming
Scouting Report
LGD Gaming BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (46%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
ThunderTalk Gaming RED
Well-rounded profile