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Series Predictions
LYONKarmine Corp
FastTree
· free model
LYON34.5%
Karmine Corp65.5%
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Head-to-Head & Form
LYONElo Rating
1725
Tournament Record
1-0
(1-0)
Overall Record
88W - 68L (56.4%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
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VS
Karmine CorpElo Rating
1856
Tournament Record
1-0
(1-0)
Overall Record
158W - 96L (62.2%)
Current Streak
9W
H2H Win Rate
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Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Karmine Corp +60% WR
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact
27.2%
Counts for LYON
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Karmine Corp +131 Elo
Impact
10.6%
Karmine Corp
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Karmine Corp +54
Impact
8.4%
Karmine Corp
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Karmine Corp +18% expected WR
Impact
6.5%
Karmine Corp
5
Head-to-Head History
LYON +0% WR
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
6.2%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Karmine Corp +276
Impact
5.9%
Karmine Corp
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Karmine Corp +5.1%
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact
5.4%
Counts for LYON
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Karmine Corp +0.07
Impact
4.6%
Karmine Corp
9
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
LYON +4
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
4.1%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Win Rate
Karmine Corp +5.8% WR
Impact
4%
Karmine Corp
Scouting Report
LYON
BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher first blood rate
Karmine Corp
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (62%)
Better dragon control
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