Oct 26, 18:00·Bo1
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Series Predictions
BILIBILI GAMINGKarmine Corp
FastTree
· free model
Uncertain
BILIBILI GAMING48.9%
Karmine Corp51.1%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Bilibili GamingElo Rating
1839
Tournament Record
1-1
(1-1)
Overall Record
237W - 122L (66%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
---
VS
Karmine CorpElo Rating
1825
Tournament Record
1-1
(1-1)
Overall Record
158W - 97L (62%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
---
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Opponent Avg Elo
Bilibili Gaming +0
Impact
16.4%
Bilibili Gaming
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Bilibili Gaming +2% expected WR
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
12.1%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Win Rate
Bilibili Gaming +4.1% WR
Impact
11.6%
Bilibili Gaming
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Bilibili Gaming +11%
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
11.4%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Bilibili Gaming +7
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
9.3%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Elo Rating
Bilibili Gaming +14 Elo
Impact
6.6%
Bilibili Gaming
7
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Karmine Corp +40% WR
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Bilibili Gaming.
Impact
6.2%
Counts for Bilibili Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Bilibili Gaming +36
Impact
6%
Bilibili Gaming
9
History Depth
Bilibili Gaming +0
Impact
4.1%
Bilibili Gaming
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Karmine Corp +225
Impact
4.1%
Karmine Corp
Scouting Report
Bilibili Gaming
BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure
Karmine Corp
RED
Well-rounded profile
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