Oct 31, 17:00·Bo3
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Series Predictions
Movistar KOIKarmine Corp
FastTree
· free model
Movistar KOI37.6%
Karmine Corp62.4%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Movistar KOIElo Rating
1647
Tournament Record
2-2
(2-4)
Overall Record
141W - 132L (51.6%)
Current Streak
4L
H2H Win Rate
40.9%
VS
Karmine CorpElo Rating
1826
Tournament Record
2-2
(3-2)
Overall Record
160W - 98L (62%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
59.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Karmine Corp +3.4%
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI.
Impact
22.7%
Counts for Movistar KOI
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Karmine Corp +179 Elo
Impact
21.9%
Karmine Corp
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Karmine Corp +251
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI.
Impact
11.5%
Counts for Movistar KOI
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Karmine Corp +23.7% expected WR
Impact
9.6%
Karmine Corp
5
Head-to-Head History
Karmine Corp +18.1% WR
Impact
9%
Karmine Corp
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Karmine Corp +0.096
Impact
6.2%
Karmine Corp
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Movistar KOI +0
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
5.7%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Karmine Corp +43
Impact
4%
Karmine Corp
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Karmine Corp +64
Impact
2.9%
Karmine Corp
10
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Karmine Corp +5
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI.
Impact
2.2%
Counts for Movistar KOI
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Movistar KOI
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Karmine Corp
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (62%)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Better dragon control
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