LESSemifinals
Series Predictions
Movistar KOI FénixUCAM Esports Club
FastTreeBest in LESBest for confidence
75.8%
24.2%
LightGBM
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PCA Sweep
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FastTree
Best in LESBest for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for LES
92%
11/12
Accuracy for confidence level
Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific.
76%
179/237
Market · Series prelive
Movistar KOI Fénix
1.57
·
UCAM Esports Club
2.25
Movistar KOI Fénix
1.57
·
UCAM Esports Club
2.25Movistar KOI Fénix
UCAM Esports ClubMarket Odds
1.57
2.25
FastTree
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LightGBM
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PCA Sweep
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Consensus
ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted).
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Head-to-Head & Form
Movistar KOI Fenix
Elo Rating
1652
Tournament Record
6-1
(12-4)
Overall Record
24W - 11L (68.6%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
51.7%
VS
UCAM Esports
Elo Rating
1613
Tournament Record
4-3
(11-7)
Overall Record
46W - 40L (53.5%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
48.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Win Rate
+15.1% WR
Impact
15.8%
Movistar KOI Fenix
2
Win Streak
+4 games
Impact
12.2%
Movistar KOI Fenix
3
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
+249
Impact
10.5%
Movistar KOI Fenix
4
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
+8.4% expected WR
Impact
6.8%
Movistar KOI Fenix
5
Vision Control
Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
+93
Impact
6.8%
Movistar KOI Fenix
6
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
+35
Impact
6.7%
Movistar KOI Fenix
7
Elo Rating
+59 Elo
Impact
6.3%
Movistar KOI Fenix
8
Combat Power
Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
+329
Impact
5.6%
Movistar KOI Fenix
9
Head-to-Head History
+3.4% WR
Impact
2.5%
Movistar KOI Fenix
10
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
+324
Impact
2.4%
Movistar KOI Fenix
Scouting Report
Movistar KOI Fenix
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (69%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
UCAM Esports
RED
Well-rounded profile