LJLWeek 5

Uwinks vs Arneb - LJL

Uwinks Uwinks0-2
VS
1-2Arneb Arneb
May 27, 11:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Uwinks
Arneb
FastTree · free model
Uwinks28.8% Arneb71.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Uwinks
Elo Rating 1473
Tournament Record 0-2 (2-6)
Overall Record 13W - 21L (38.2%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 44.6%
VS
Arneb
Elo Rating 1518
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 16W - 14L (53.3%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 55.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Arneb +3.2% WR
Arneb leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Uwinks.
Impact 28.8%
Counts for Uwinks The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Arneb +651
Impact 14.4%
Arneb
3
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Arneb +266
Impact 10.2%
Arneb
4
Win Rate
Arneb +15.1% WR
Impact 8.9%
Arneb
5
Elo Rating
Arneb +68 Elo
Impact 8%
Arneb
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Arneb +24
Impact 6.2%
Arneb
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Uwinks +0
Uwinks leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Arneb.
Impact 4.6%
Counts for Arneb The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Arneb +9.7% expected WR
Impact 4.6%
Arneb
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Arneb +0.9%
Impact 3.5%
Arneb
10
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Arneb +482
Impact 3.3%
Arneb
Scouting Report
Uwinks BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Arneb RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (53%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)