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Series Predictions
Rising GamingFENNEL
FastTree
· free model
Rising Gaming27.4%
FENNEL72.6%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Rising GamingElo Rating
1688
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
28W - 15L (65.1%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
44.0%
VS
FENNELElo Rating
1574
Tournament Record
3-0
(8-3)
Overall Record
41W - 14L (74.5%)
Current Streak
6L
H2H Win Rate
56.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Rising Gaming +171 Elo
Impact
29.8%
Rising Gaming
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Rising Gaming +0
Rising Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FENNEL.
Impact
15.1%
Counts for FENNEL
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Rising Gaming +22.8% expected WR
Impact
13.3%
Rising Gaming
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Rising Gaming +50%
Impact
8%
Rising Gaming
5
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Rising Gaming +0
Rising Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FENNEL.
Impact
6.2%
Counts for FENNEL
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Win Rate
FENNEL +9.4% WR
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Rising Gaming.
Impact
5.7%
Counts for Rising Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Rising Gaming +0.051
Impact
4.8%
Rising Gaming
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Rising Gaming +63
Rising Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FENNEL.
Impact
4.1%
Counts for FENNEL
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Rising Gaming +0
Impact
4%
Rising Gaming
10
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Rising Gaming +29
Impact
2.5%
Rising Gaming
Scouting Report
Rising Gaming
BLUE
Higher rated overall
FENNEL
RED
Stronger win record (75%)
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control