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Series Predictions
Rising GamingFENNEL
FastTree
· free model
Rising Gaming25.7%
FENNEL74.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
Rising GamingElo Rating
1688
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
28W - 15L (65.1%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
43.6%
VS
FENNELElo Rating
1736
Tournament Record
3-0
(8-3)
Overall Record
41W - 8L (83.7%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
56.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Rising Gaming +0
Rising Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FENNEL.
Impact
17.9%
Counts for FENNEL
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Win Streak
FENNEL +2 games
Impact
13.1%
FENNEL
3
Elo Rating
FENNEL +73 Elo
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Rising Gaming.
Impact
11.3%
Counts for Rising Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FENNEL +206
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Rising Gaming.
Impact
10.9%
Counts for Rising Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FENNEL +10.4% expected WR
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Rising Gaming.
Impact
10.8%
Counts for Rising Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Win Rate
FENNEL +18.6% WR
Impact
10.6%
FENNEL
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FENNEL +24
Impact
5.1%
FENNEL
8
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
FENNEL +20% WR
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Rising Gaming.
Impact
4.8%
Counts for Rising Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Rising Gaming +0.038
Impact
3.9%
Rising Gaming
10
Opponent Avg Elo
Rising Gaming +0.038
Rising Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FENNEL.
Impact
2.7%
Counts for FENNEL
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Rising Gaming
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
FENNEL
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (84%)
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control