LJLSemifinals

Rising Gaming vs Arneb - LJL

Rising Gaming Rising Gaming
VS
1-2Arneb Arneb
Jun 13, 08:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Rising Gaming
Arneb
FastTree · free model
Head-to-Head & Form
Rising Gaming
Elo Rating 1688
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 28W - 15L (65.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 62.6%
VS
Arneb
Elo Rating 1518
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 16W - 14L (53.3%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 37.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Rising Gaming +254 Elo
Impact 24.3%
Rising Gaming
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Rising Gaming +0
Rising Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Arneb.
Impact 19.3%
Counts for Arneb The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Rising Gaming +130
Impact 13.4%
Rising Gaming
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Rising Gaming +31.1% expected WR
Impact 12.1%
Rising Gaming
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Rising Gaming +13.6%
Impact 10.3%
Rising Gaming
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Rising Gaming +0.116
Impact 5.6%
Rising Gaming
7
Head-to-Head History
Rising Gaming +25.2% WR
Impact 5.5%
Rising Gaming
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Rising Gaming +131
Rising Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Arneb.
Impact 2.5%
Counts for Arneb The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Win Streak
Rising Gaming +0 games
Rising Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Arneb.
Impact 1.9%
Counts for Arneb The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Win Rate
Rising Gaming +11.8% WR
Impact 1.8%
Rising Gaming
Scouting Report
Rising Gaming BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (65%)
Arneb RED
Higher first blood rate