LJLSemifinals

FENNEL vs UWinks - LJL

FENNEL FENNEL3-0
VS
0-2UWinks UWinks
Jun 13, 11:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
FENNEL
UWinks
FastTree · free model
Head-to-Head & Form
FENNEL
Elo Rating 1574
Tournament Record 3-0 (8-3)
Overall Record 41W - 14L (74.5%)
Current Streak 6L
H2H Win Rate 70.0%
VS
Uwinks
Elo Rating 1473
Tournament Record 0-2 (2-6)
Overall Record 13W - 21L (38.2%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 30.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FENNEL +114
Impact 22.8%
FENNEL
2
Elo Rating
FENNEL +151 Elo
Impact 17.2%
FENNEL
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Uwinks +35.5%
Impact 13.7%
Uwinks
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FENNEL +370
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Uwinks.
Impact 11.6%
Counts for Uwinks The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FENNEL +20.5% expected WR
Impact 8.8%
FENNEL
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FENNEL +773
Impact 6.9%
FENNEL
7
Head-to-Head History
FENNEL +39.9% WR
Impact 5.6%
FENNEL
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Uwinks +0.046
Uwinks leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FENNEL.
Impact 5%
Counts for FENNEL The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Uwinks +0.046
Uwinks leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FENNEL.
Impact 2.1%
Counts for FENNEL The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
FENNEL +530
Impact 1.5%
FENNEL
Scouting Report
FENNEL BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (75%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
Uwinks RED
Well-rounded profile