LJLFinals

FENNEL vs Rising Gaming - LJL

FENNEL FENNEL3-0
VS
Rising Gaming Rising Gaming
Jun 14, 08:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
FENNEL
Rising Gaming
FastTree · free model
Head-to-Head & Form
FENNEL
Elo Rating 1574
Tournament Record 3-0 (8-3)
Overall Record 41W - 14L (74.5%)
Current Streak 6L
H2H Win Rate 56.0%
VS
Rising Gaming
Elo Rating 1688
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 28W - 15L (65.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 44.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Rising Gaming +171 Elo
Impact 25.5%
Rising Gaming
2
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FENNEL +105
Impact 17.1%
FENNEL
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FENNEL +0
Impact 16.2%
FENNEL
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Rising Gaming +22.8% expected WR
Impact 12.8%
Rising Gaming
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Rising Gaming +50%
Impact 8%
Rising Gaming
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Rising Gaming +90
Impact 5.4%
Rising Gaming
7
Head-to-Head History
FENNEL +11.9% WR
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Rising Gaming.
Impact 4.8%
Counts for Rising Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Rising Gaming +0.051
Impact 3.2%
Rising Gaming
9
H2HWin Rate Weighted
FENNEL +11.9% WR
Impact 2.9%
FENNEL
Scouting Report
FENNEL BLUE
Stronger win record (75%)
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control
Rising Gaming RED
Higher rated overall