LJLFinals

FENNEL vs Rising Gaming - LJL

FENNEL FENNEL3-0
VS
Rising Gaming Rising Gaming
Jun 14, 08:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
FENNEL
Rising Gaming
FastTree · free model
Head-to-Head & Form
FENNEL
Elo Rating 1736
Tournament Record 3-0 (8-3)
Overall Record 41W - 8L (83.7%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 56.4%
VS
Rising Gaming
Elo Rating 1688
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 28W - 15L (65.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 43.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FENNEL +1271
Impact 23.2%
FENNEL
2
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
FENNEL +290
Impact 15.2%
FENNEL
3
Elo Rating
FENNEL +73 Elo
Impact 11.9%
FENNEL
4
Opponent Avg Elo
Rising Gaming +0.038
Impact 11.6%
Rising Gaming
5
H2HWin Rate Weighted
FENNEL +12.8% WR
Impact 6.1%
FENNEL
6
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FENNEL +543
Impact 5.1%
FENNEL
7
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FENNEL +10.4% expected WR
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Rising Gaming.
Impact 5%
Counts for Rising Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Recent Win Rate Recent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
FENNEL +20% WR
Impact 4.4%
FENNEL
9
Upset Rate Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Rising Gaming +50%
Impact 4%
Rising Gaming
10
Vision Control Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Rising Gaming +237
Impact 2.9%
Rising Gaming
Scouting Report
FENNEL BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (84%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Rising Gaming RED
Well-rounded profile