LPLWeek 3

TOP ESPORTS vs BILIBILI GAMING - LPL

TOP ESPORTS TOP ESPORTS1-0
VS
BILIBILI GAMING BILIBILI GAMING
Aug 7, 11:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
TOP ESPORTS
BILIBILI GAMING
FastTree · free model
TOP ESPORTS28.2% BILIBILI GAMING71.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
Top Esports
Elo Rating 1677
Tournament Record 1-0 (3-1)
Overall Record 190W - 133L (58.8%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 41.8%
VS
Bilibili Gaming
Elo Rating 1849
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 236W - 121L (66.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 58.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Bilibili Gaming +172 Elo
Impact 23.3%
Bilibili Gaming
2
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Bilibili Gaming +4.3%
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact 11.4%
Counts for Top Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Bilibili Gaming +205
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact 11.1%
Counts for Top Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Head-to-Head History
Bilibili Gaming +16.3% WR
Impact 9.7%
Bilibili Gaming
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Bilibili Gaming +22.9% expected WR
Impact 9%
Bilibili Gaming
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Bilibili Gaming +0.063
Impact 8.2%
Bilibili Gaming
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Bilibili Gaming +67
Impact 7.5%
Bilibili Gaming
8
Win Streak
Top Esports +4 games
Impact 4.8%
Top Esports
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Bilibili Gaming +7
Impact 4.2%
Bilibili Gaming
10
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Bilibili Gaming +206
Impact 3.4%
Bilibili Gaming
Scouting Report
Top Esports BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Bilibili Gaming RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (66%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)