LPLWeek 1

THUNDER TALK GAMING vs BILIBILI GAMING - LPL

THUNDER TALK GAMING THUNDER TALK GAMING
VS
BILIBILI GAMING BILIBILI GAMING
Jul 23, 11:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
THUNDER TALK GAMING
BILIBILI GAMING
FastTree · free model
THUNDER TALK GAMING10.8% BILIBILI GAMING89.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
ThunderTalk Gaming
Elo Rating 1415
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 27W - 54L (33.3%)
Current Streak 9L
H2H Win Rate 35.2%
VS
Bilibili Gaming
Elo Rating 1849
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 236W - 121L (66.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 64.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Bilibili Gaming +433 Elo
Impact 38.4%
Bilibili Gaming
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Bilibili Gaming +42.4% expected WR
Impact 17.1%
Bilibili Gaming
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Bilibili Gaming +320
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 10.6%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Bilibili Gaming +26.5%
Impact 8.3%
Bilibili Gaming
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Bilibili Gaming +1030
Impact 6.6%
Bilibili Gaming
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Bilibili Gaming +25
Impact 5.2%
Bilibili Gaming
7
Head-to-Head History
Bilibili Gaming +29.6% WR
Impact 4.4%
Bilibili Gaming
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Bilibili Gaming +373
Impact 3%
Bilibili Gaming
9
Opponent Avg Elo
ThunderTalk Gaming +0
ThunderTalk Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Bilibili Gaming.
Impact 2.4%
Counts for Bilibili Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Bilibili Gaming +0.222
Impact 1.4%
Bilibili Gaming
Scouting Report
ThunderTalk Gaming BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Bilibili Gaming RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (66%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)