LPLWeek 2
TOP ESPORTS vs Beijing JDG Esports - LPL
Aug 2, 11:00·Bo3
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Series Predictions
TOP ESPORTSBeijing JDG Esports
FastTree
· free model
TOP ESPORTS56.3%
Beijing JDG Esports43.7%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Top EsportsElo Rating
1677
Tournament Record
1-0
(3-1)
Overall Record
190W - 133L (58.8%)
Current Streak
3W
H2H Win Rate
56.6%
VS
JD GamingElo Rating
1595
Tournament Record
1-1
(4-4)
Overall Record
168W - 156L (51.9%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
43.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Top Esports +44
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact
38.7%
Counts for JD Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Win Rate
Top Esports +7% WR
Impact
9.8%
Top Esports
3
Elo Rating
Top Esports +82 Elo
Impact
9.3%
Top Esports
4
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
JD Gaming +152
JD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact
6.3%
Counts for Top Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Top Esports +11.6% expected WR
Impact
5.8%
Top Esports
6
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Top Esports +20% WR
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact
5%
Counts for JD Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Top Esports +49
Impact
4.7%
Top Esports
8
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Top Esports +19
Impact
3.8%
Top Esports
9
Opponent Avg Elo
JD Gaming +0.002
JD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact
3.6%
Counts for Top Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Top Esports +263
Impact
3.4%
Top Esports
Scouting Report
Top Esports
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (59%)
Higher damage output
JD Gaming
RED
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)