LPLWeek 3

TOP ESPORTS vs EDWARD GAMING - LPL

TOP ESPORTS TOP ESPORTS1-0
VS
EDWARD GAMING EDWARD GAMING
Aug 5, 11:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
TOP ESPORTS
EDWARD GAMING
FastTree · free model
TOP ESPORTS84.3% EDWARD GAMING15.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
Top Esports
Elo Rating 1677
Tournament Record 1-0 (3-1)
Overall Record 190W - 133L (58.8%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 71.9%
VS
EDward Gaming
Elo Rating 1447
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 63W - 83L (43.2%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 28.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Top Esports +230 Elo
Impact 28.3%
Top Esports
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Top Esports +81
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward EDward Gaming.
Impact 15%
Counts for EDward Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Top Esports +128
Impact 13.7%
Top Esports
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Top Esports +29% expected WR
Impact 11.6%
Top Esports
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Top Esports +23.6%
Impact 9.2%
Top Esports
6
Head-to-Head History
Top Esports +43.9% WR
Impact 7.1%
Top Esports
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Top Esports +750
Impact 5.6%
Top Esports
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Top Esports +0.335
Impact 3.9%
Top Esports
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Top Esports +0.335
Impact 2.1%
Top Esports
Scouting Report
Top Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (59%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
EDward Gaming RED
Well-rounded profile