LPLWeek 3

LGD GAMING vs THUNDER TALK GAMING - LPL

LGD GAMING LGD GAMING
VS
THUNDER TALK GAMING THUNDER TALK GAMING
Aug 6, 07:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
LGD GAMING
THUNDER TALK GAMING
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
LGD GAMING49.7% THUNDER TALK GAMING50.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
LGD Gaming
Elo Rating 1602
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 76W - 89L (46.1%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 58.0%
VS
ThunderTalk Gaming
Elo Rating 1415
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 27W - 54L (33.3%)
Current Streak 9L
H2H Win Rate 42.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LGD Gaming +238 Elo
Impact 18.4%
LGD Gaming
2
Opponent Avg Elo
ThunderTalk Gaming +0.187
Impact 17.3%
ThunderTalk Gaming
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LGD Gaming +128
LGD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 17%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LGD Gaming +5.9%
LGD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 10.9%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LGD Gaming +125
Impact 8%
LGD Gaming
6
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LGD Gaming +29.7% expected WR
Impact 7.4%
LGD Gaming
7
Head-to-Head History
LGD Gaming +16% WR
Impact 7.4%
LGD Gaming
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LGD Gaming +432
LGD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 4.5%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
LGD Gaming +292
Impact 2.5%
LGD Gaming
10
Win Rate
LGD Gaming +12.7% WR
Impact 1.7%
LGD Gaming
Scouting Report
LGD Gaming BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (46%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
ThunderTalk Gaming RED
Well-rounded profile