LPLWeek 5

BILIBILI GAMING vs TOP ESPORTS - LPL

BILIBILI GAMING BILIBILI GAMING
VS
1-0TOP ESPORTS TOP ESPORTS
Aug 21, 11:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
BILIBILI GAMING
TOP ESPORTS
FastTree · free model
BILIBILI GAMING64.7% TOP ESPORTS35.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
Bilibili Gaming
Elo Rating 1811
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 239W - 124L (65.8%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 54.4%
VS
Top Esports
Elo Rating 1795
Tournament Record 1-0 (3-1)
Overall Record 194W - 135L (59%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 45.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Bilibili Gaming +9
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact 32.4%
Counts for Top Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Head-to-Head History
Bilibili Gaming +8.8% WR
Impact 15.8%
Bilibili Gaming
3
Win Rate
Bilibili Gaming +6.9% WR
Impact 10.3%
Bilibili Gaming
4
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Bilibili Gaming +8.8% WR
Impact 9.5%
Bilibili Gaming
5
Elo Rating
Bilibili Gaming +16 Elo
Impact 8.8%
Bilibili Gaming
6
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Top Esports +51
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Bilibili Gaming.
Impact 4.9%
Counts for Bilibili Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Bilibili Gaming +2.3% expected WR
Impact 4.3%
Bilibili Gaming
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Bilibili Gaming +0.057
Impact 3.8%
Bilibili Gaming
9
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Top Esports +20% WR
Impact 2.1%
Top Esports
10
Opponent Avg Elo
Bilibili Gaming +0
Impact 2%
Bilibili Gaming
Scouting Report
Bilibili Gaming BLUE
Stronger win record (66%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Top Esports RED
Well-rounded profile