LPLWeek 4

BILIBILI GAMING vs Beijing JDG Esports - LPL

BILIBILI GAMING BILIBILI GAMING
VS
1-1Beijing JDG Esports Beijing JDG Esports
Aug 12, 11:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
BILIBILI GAMING
Beijing JDG Esports
FastTree · free model
BILIBILI GAMING80.8% Beijing JDG Esports19.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Bilibili Gaming
Elo Rating 1849
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 236W - 121L (66.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 61.3%
VS
JD Gaming
Elo Rating 1595
Tournament Record 1-1 (4-4)
Overall Record 168W - 156L (51.9%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 38.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Bilibili Gaming +254 Elo
Impact 23.5%
Bilibili Gaming
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Bilibili Gaming +77
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact 19.2%
Counts for JD Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Bilibili Gaming +31.1% expected WR
Impact 11.7%
Bilibili Gaming
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Bilibili Gaming +135
Impact 11.6%
Bilibili Gaming
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Bilibili Gaming +14.6%
Impact 9.6%
Bilibili Gaming
6
Head-to-Head History
Bilibili Gaming +22.6% WR
Impact 6.6%
Bilibili Gaming
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Bilibili Gaming +0.06
Impact 5.3%
Bilibili Gaming
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Bilibili Gaming +595
Impact 3.5%
Bilibili Gaming
9
History Depth
Bilibili Gaming +0
Impact 2.3%
Bilibili Gaming
10
Win Rate
Bilibili Gaming +14.3% WR
Impact 2.2%
Bilibili Gaming
Scouting Report
Bilibili Gaming BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (66%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
JD Gaming RED
Well-rounded profile