Aug 12, 11:00·Bo3
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Series Predictions
BILIBILI GAMINGBeijing JDG Esports
FastTree
· free model
BILIBILI GAMING75.0%
Beijing JDG Esports25.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
Bilibili GamingElo Rating
1886
Tournament Record
1-0
(3-1)
Overall Record
232W - 118L (66.3%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
61.6%
VS
JD GamingElo Rating
1607
Tournament Record
0-2
(1-6)
Overall Record
158W - 145L (52.1%)
Current Streak
4L
H2H Win Rate
38.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Bilibili Gaming +279 Elo
Impact
23.6%
Bilibili Gaming
2
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Bilibili Gaming +145
Impact
22.7%
Bilibili Gaming
3
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Bilibili Gaming +33.3% expected WR
Impact
16.2%
Bilibili Gaming
4
Schedule Strength
Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Bilibili Gaming +0.049
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact
9.2%
Counts for JD Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Recent Win Rate
Recent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Bilibili Gaming +60% WR
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact
7.3%
Counts for JD Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
History Depth
Bilibili Gaming +1
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact
6.2%
Counts for JD Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Bilibili Gaming +132
Impact
4.4%
Bilibili Gaming
8
Combat Power
Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Bilibili Gaming +221
Impact
3.5%
Bilibili Gaming
9
Win Rate
Bilibili Gaming +14.1% WR
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact
1.6%
Counts for JD Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Upset Rate
Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Bilibili Gaming +14.5%
Impact
1.5%
Bilibili Gaming
Scouting Report
Bilibili Gaming
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (66%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
JD Gaming
RED
Well-rounded profile