LPLWeek 5

LGD GAMING vs BILIBILI GAMING - LPL

Aug 20, 11:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
LGD GAMING
BILIBILI GAMING
FastTree · free model
LGD GAMING18.1% BILIBILI GAMING81.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
LGD Gaming
Elo Rating 1565
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 77W - 92L (45.6%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 41.3%
VS
Bilibili Gaming
Elo Rating 1868
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 238W - 122L (66.1%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 58.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Bilibili Gaming +270 Elo
Impact 29.9%
Bilibili Gaming
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Bilibili Gaming +204
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LGD Gaming.
Impact 18.1%
Counts for LGD Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Bilibili Gaming +32.5% expected WR
Impact 16.9%
Bilibili Gaming
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Bilibili Gaming +20.9%
Impact 11.9%
Bilibili Gaming
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Bilibili Gaming +0.405
Impact 4.8%
Bilibili Gaming
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Bilibili Gaming +63
Impact 4.4%
Bilibili Gaming
7
Head-to-Head History
Bilibili Gaming +17.4% WR
Impact 3.6%
Bilibili Gaming
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Bilibili Gaming +702
Impact 3.3%
Bilibili Gaming
9
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Bilibili Gaming +300
Impact 2%
Bilibili Gaming
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Bilibili Gaming +0.405
Impact 1.9%
Bilibili Gaming
Scouting Report
LGD Gaming BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Bilibili Gaming RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (66%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output