Aug 13, 11:00·Bo3
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Series Predictions
BILIBILI GAMINGTHUNDER TALK GAMING
FastTree
· free model
BILIBILI GAMING87.6%
THUNDER TALK GAMING12.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
Bilibili GamingElo Rating
1926
Tournament Record
2-0
(6-1)
Overall Record
235W - 118L (66.6%)
Current Streak
4W
H2H Win Rate
65.9%
VS
ThunderTalk GamingElo Rating
1415
Tournament Record
0-1
(0-3)
Overall Record
27W - 54L (33.3%)
Current Streak
9L
H2H Win Rate
34.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Bilibili Gaming +294
Impact
25.9%
Bilibili Gaming
2
Elo Rating
Bilibili Gaming +511 Elo
Impact
20.1%
Bilibili Gaming
3
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Bilibili Gaming +45% expected WR
Impact
17%
Bilibili Gaming
4
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Bilibili Gaming +1071
Impact
5.7%
Bilibili Gaming
5
Schedule Strength
Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Bilibili Gaming +0.219
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact
5.7%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Win Streak
Bilibili Gaming +13 games
Impact
5.4%
Bilibili Gaming
7
Win Rate
Bilibili Gaming +33.2% WR
Impact
5.2%
Bilibili Gaming
8
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Bilibili Gaming +358
Impact
4.1%
Bilibili Gaming
9
History Depth
Bilibili Gaming +1
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact
3.3%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Combat Power
Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Bilibili Gaming +340
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact
3.2%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Bilibili Gaming
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (67%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
ThunderTalk Gaming
RED
Well-rounded profile