Aug 22, 11:00·Bo3
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Series Predictions
Beijing JDG EsportsTOP ESPORTS
FastTree
· free model
Beijing JDG Esports42.0%
TOP ESPORTS58.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
JD GamingElo Rating
1607
Tournament Record
0-2
(1-6)
Overall Record
158W - 145L (52.1%)
Current Streak
4L
H2H Win Rate
43.3%
VS
Top EsportsElo Rating
1621
Tournament Record
0-2
(4-6)
Overall Record
187W - 132L (58.6%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
56.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Head-to-Head History
Top Esports +13.4% WR
Impact
15.2%
Top Esports
2
Elo Rating
Top Esports +14 Elo
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact
14.7%
Counts for JD Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Top Esports +13.4% WR
Impact
10.2%
Top Esports
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
JD Gaming +0.011
Impact
10%
JD Gaming
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Top Esports +2% expected WR
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact
9.4%
Counts for JD Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Top Esports +99
Impact
8%
Top Esports
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
JD Gaming +125
JD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact
7.6%
Counts for Top Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Win Rate
Top Esports +6.5% WR
Impact
7.3%
Top Esports
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Top Esports +6
Impact
4.2%
Top Esports
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
JD Gaming +51
Impact
3.2%
JD Gaming
Scouting Report
JD Gaming
BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Top Esports
RED
Stronger win record (59%)