LPLWeek 5

Beijing JDG Esports vs TOP ESPORTS - LPL

Beijing JDG Esports Beijing JDG Esports1-1
VS
1-0TOP ESPORTS TOP ESPORTS
Aug 22, 11:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Beijing JDG Esports
TOP ESPORTS
FastTree · free model
Beijing JDG Esports42.4% TOP ESPORTS57.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
JD Gaming
Elo Rating 1595
Tournament Record 1-1 (4-4)
Overall Record 168W - 156L (51.9%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 43.5%
VS
Top Esports
Elo Rating 1795
Tournament Record 1-0 (3-1)
Overall Record 194W - 135L (59%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 56.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Top Esports +200 Elo
Impact 23.5%
Top Esports
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
JD Gaming +122
Impact 22.3%
JD Gaming
3
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Top Esports +100
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact 15.7%
Counts for JD Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Top Esports +26% expected WR
Impact 10.7%
Top Esports
5
Head-to-Head History
Top Esports +12.9% WR
Impact 6.9%
Top Esports
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Top Esports +75
Impact 5.1%
Top Esports
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Top Esports +11%
Impact 4.1%
Top Esports
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Top Esports +0.006
Impact 3.5%
Top Esports
9
Win Streak
Top Esports +3 games
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward JD Gaming.
Impact 2%
Counts for JD Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Top Esports +193
Impact 1.7%
Top Esports
Scouting Report
JD Gaming BLUE
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Top Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (59%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)