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Series Predictions
LGD GAMINGTOP ESPORTS
FastTree
· free model
LGD GAMING25.0%
TOP ESPORTS75.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
LGD GamingElo Rating
1622
Tournament Record
2-1
(7-7)
Overall Record
72W - 84L (46.2%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
48.5%
VS
Top EsportsElo Rating
1621
Tournament Record
0-2
(4-6)
Overall Record
187W - 132L (58.6%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
51.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Upset Rate
Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Top Esports +14.7%
Impact
37.9%
Top Esports
2
Schedule Strength
Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Top Esports +0.364
Impact
14.8%
Top Esports
3
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LGD Gaming +45
LGD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact
12.5%
Counts for Top Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Recent Win Rate
Recent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
LGD Gaming +20% WR
LGD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact
9.8%
Counts for Top Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Combat Power
Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Top Esports +385
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LGD Gaming.
Impact
8.9%
Counts for LGD Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Top Esports +29
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LGD Gaming.
Impact
6.3%
Counts for LGD Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LGD Gaming +9% expected WR
Impact
4%
LGD Gaming
8
Win Streak
LGD Gaming +2 games
Impact
3%
LGD Gaming
9
Win Rate
Top Esports +12.5% WR
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LGD Gaming.
Impact
1.3%
Counts for LGD Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
LGD Gaming
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Top Esports
RED
Stronger win record (59%)
Higher damage output