LPLWeek 4

EDWARD GAMING vs TOP ESPORTS - LPL

EDWARD GAMING EDWARD GAMING
VS
1-0TOP ESPORTS TOP ESPORTS
Aug 16, 11:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
EDWARD GAMING
TOP ESPORTS
FastTree · free model
EDWARD GAMING16.7% TOP ESPORTS83.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
EDward Gaming
Elo Rating 1447
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 63W - 83L (43.2%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 28.8%
VS
Top Esports
Elo Rating 1739
Tournament Record 1-0 (3-1)
Overall Record 192W - 134L (58.9%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 71.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Top Esports +291 Elo
Impact 30.6%
Top Esports
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Top Esports +34.2% expected WR
Impact 18%
Top Esports
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Top Esports +131
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward EDward Gaming.
Impact 16.7%
Counts for EDward Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Top Esports +23.9%
Impact 9.8%
Top Esports
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Top Esports +0.338
Impact 5.5%
Top Esports
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Top Esports +77
Impact 4.8%
Top Esports
7
Head-to-Head History
Top Esports +42.3% WR
Impact 4.2%
Top Esports
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Top Esports +725
Impact 3.9%
Top Esports
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Top Esports +0.338
Impact 2.1%
Top Esports
10
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Top Esports +265
Impact 2%
Top Esports
Scouting Report
EDward Gaming BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Top Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (59%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)