LPLWeek 4

Beijing JDG Esports vs LGD GAMING - LPL

Beijing JDG Esports Beijing JDG Esports1-1
VS
LGD GAMING LGD GAMING
Aug 16, 07:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Beijing JDG Esports
LGD GAMING
FastTree · free model
Beijing JDG Esports69.1% LGD GAMING30.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
JD Gaming
Elo Rating 1595
Tournament Record 1-1 (4-4)
Overall Record 168W - 156L (51.9%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 45.2%
VS
LGD Gaming
Elo Rating 1565
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 77W - 92L (45.6%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 54.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
JD Gaming +0.343
Impact 37.7%
JD Gaming
2
Opponent Avg Elo
JD Gaming +0
Impact 18.1%
JD Gaming
3
Win Rate
JD Gaming +6.3% WR
Impact 10.3%
JD Gaming
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
JD Gaming +134
JD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LGD Gaming.
Impact 6.6%
Counts for LGD Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Elo Rating
LGD Gaming +3 Elo
Impact 6.5%
LGD Gaming
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LGD Gaming +1
Impact 5%
LGD Gaming
7
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
JD Gaming +0% WR
Impact 3%
JD Gaming
8
H2HWin Rate Weighted
LGD Gaming +9.6% WR
Impact 2.6%
LGD Gaming
9
Head-to-Head History
LGD Gaming +9.6% WR
Impact 2.6%
LGD Gaming
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
JD Gaming +47
JD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LGD Gaming.
Impact 1.6%
Counts for LGD Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
JD Gaming BLUE
Stronger win record (52%)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
LGD Gaming RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)