LPLWeek 5

THUNDER TALK GAMING vs Beijing JDG Esports - LPL

THUNDER TALK GAMING THUNDER TALK GAMING
VS
1-1Beijing JDG Esports Beijing JDG Esports
Aug 20, 09:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
THUNDER TALK GAMING
Beijing JDG Esports
FastTree · free model
THUNDER TALK GAMING29.6% Beijing JDG Esports70.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
ThunderTalk Gaming
Elo Rating 1415
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 27W - 54L (33.3%)
Current Streak 9L
H2H Win Rate 37.9%
VS
JD Gaming
Elo Rating 1595
Tournament Record 1-1 (4-4)
Overall Record 168W - 156L (51.9%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 62.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
JD Gaming +180 Elo
Impact 23.9%
JD Gaming
2
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
JD Gaming +225
JD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 15.5%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
JD Gaming +23.8% expected WR
Impact 14.4%
JD Gaming
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
JD Gaming +335
JD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 14.1%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
JD Gaming +11.8%
Impact 8.2%
JD Gaming
6
Opponent Avg Elo
JD Gaming +0.162
Impact 6.1%
JD Gaming
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
JD Gaming +52
Impact 4.5%
JD Gaming
8
Head-to-Head History
JD Gaming +24.2% WR
Impact 3.6%
JD Gaming
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
JD Gaming +504
Impact 2.3%
JD Gaming
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
JD Gaming +0.162
Impact 2.3%
JD Gaming
Scouting Report
ThunderTalk Gaming BLUE
Well-rounded profile
JD Gaming RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (52%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control