LPLWeek 5

THUNDER TALK GAMING vs LGD GAMING - LPL

THUNDER TALK GAMING THUNDER TALK GAMING
VS
LGD GAMING LGD GAMING
Aug 23, 07:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
THUNDER TALK GAMING
LGD GAMING
FastTree · free model
THUNDER TALK GAMING39.9% LGD GAMING60.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
ThunderTalk Gaming
Elo Rating 1415
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 27W - 54L (33.3%)
Current Streak 9L
H2H Win Rate 42.2%
VS
LGD Gaming
Elo Rating 1565
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 77W - 92L (45.6%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 57.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LGD Gaming +183 Elo
Impact 26.1%
LGD Gaming
2
Opponent Avg Elo
ThunderTalk Gaming +0.181
Impact 15.1%
ThunderTalk Gaming
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LGD Gaming +5.6%
LGD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 14.8%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LGD Gaming +24.1% expected WR
Impact 10.1%
LGD Gaming
5
Head-to-Head History
LGD Gaming +15.6% WR
Impact 9.8%
LGD Gaming
6
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
LGD Gaming +257
Impact 5.5%
LGD Gaming
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LGD Gaming +194
LGD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 4.8%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LGD Gaming +568
LGD Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward ThunderTalk Gaming.
Impact 3.5%
Counts for ThunderTalk Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LGD Gaming +62
Impact 3.3%
LGD Gaming
10
Win Rate
LGD Gaming +12.2% WR
Impact 1.9%
LGD Gaming
Scouting Report
ThunderTalk Gaming BLUE
Well-rounded profile
LGD Gaming RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (46%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate