EMEA MastersSwiss Bracket

mCon Esports vs GOAL esports - EMEA Masters

mCon Esports mCon Esports
VS
4-4GOAL esports GOAL esports
Jun 8, 15:00·Bo1

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Series Predictions
mCon Esports
GOAL esports
FastTree · free model
mCon Esports33.9% GOAL esports66.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
mCon esports
Elo Rating 1355
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 79W - 79L (50%)
Current Streak 10L
H2H Win Rate 43.4%
VS
Valerion
Elo Rating 1584
Tournament Record 4-4 (6-8)
Overall Record 68W - 45L (60.2%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 56.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Valerion +344 Elo
Impact 26.6%
Valerion
2
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Valerion +1.1%
Valerion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward mCon esports.
Impact 17.3%
Counts for mCon esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Valerion +37.9% expected WR
Impact 13.9%
Valerion
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Valerion +0.091
Impact 8.2%
Valerion
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Valerion +917
Impact 7.7%
Valerion
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Valerion +589
Valerion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward mCon esports.
Impact 5.7%
Counts for mCon esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Head-to-Head History
Valerion +13.2% WR
Impact 5.6%
Valerion
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Valerion +322
Impact 3.4%
Valerion
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Valerion +98
Impact 3.2%
Valerion
10
Opponent Avg Elo
Valerion +0.091
Impact 3.1%
Valerion
Scouting Report
mCon esports BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Valerion RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (60%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output